Congratulations to Firefox for hitting the 300 million download mark! This is yet another huge milestone in the book for Mozilla, and one that is surely deserved. Of course, 300 million downloads does not signify that there are 300 million users because many people download Firefox multiple times. I, for example, have downloaded Firefox at least 5 times in the last month. At least Mozilla was able to get the update functionality into Firefox so that people don’t have to download Firefox every time there is a new release.
Where are the Firefox download numbers going to be in the future? I was wondering that yesterday so I went looking for the graph generator that I had found some time ago. The great thing about this utility is that it is all done online and you can use it to estimate the date at which Firefox will hit new milestones by providing a few parameters. Here’s what I came up with:
- 400 million downloads – August 25, 2007
- 500 million downloads – March 6, 2008
- 600 million downloads – September 17, 2008
- 700 million downloads – March 30, 2009
- 800 million downloads – October 11, 2009
- 900 million downloads – April 24, 2010
- 1 billion downloads – November 3, 2010
- 2 billion downloads – February 29, 2016
- 5 billion downloads – February 16, 2032
- 10 billion downloads – September 26, 2058
- 50 billion downloads – August 9, 2271
- 100 billion downloads – September 9, 2537
- 500 billion downloads – May 15, 4666
- 1 trillion downloads – March 21, 7327
Each of those download amounts are linked to the graph that I received the estimated date from, but the trend line stopped appearing after I started doing 10 billion downloads. Luckily it was still able to estimate the date at which Firefox would hit those milestones for the sake of my own amusement. Also, if you click on any of those links you will more than likely see a slightly different date than what I listed above, because the graphs are estimated based upon the current trend. Since the download trend will constantly change the graph will try to compensate and accurately predict the date. It will be fun to see when Firefox hits some of those milestones to see how accurate the graph is.
On a side note, it has been exactly one week since Firefox 3 Alpha 2 was released and it looks like a lot of people wanted to see what all of the talk was about. As FFExtensionGuru pointed out on his blog there was around 32,000 downloads of Alpha 2 according to the last set of meeting notes by Mozilla. I’m actually surprised that such an early pre-release appealed to so many people, but then again it is always nice to get a sneak peek of what the future holds for us.
Source: Mozilla Links [via CyberNet News Forum]